10/21 NFL Preview: LA Chargers -1 vs. Arizona Cardinals | Total: 44
The late Monday night game features the LA Chargers traveling to Arizona. The line suggests this is a coin-flip game, and the total seems spot-on, so where is the value? There’s a unique situation we can take advantage of in this matchup. The Chargers have excelled in their early game script over the last four games, while the Cardinals have struggled to start strong in recent weeks.
In their last four games, the Arizona Cardinals have been down by double digits at halftime against Green Bay (24-10), San Francisco (23-10), Washington (17-7), and Detroit (20-10). On the other hand, the Chargers, under coach Harbaugh, have come out well-prepared, winning the first half in each of their last four games: Denver (20-0), Kansas City (10-7), Pittsburgh (10-7), and Carolina (20-0).
In a game that could ultimately come down to the last play, the value lies in the Chargers to win the first half at a very reasonable line of -105.
Lean: Chargers -0.5 First Half.