11/12 NHL Preview: Vegas (-200) at Anaheim – Total 6
When it comes to analyzing any game involving the Vegas Golden Knights, there’s a consistent pattern: bet the over. The team’s games frequently feature high scores, so whenever the total is set at 6 goals, even if it’s juiced slightly, it’s worth a look. In this matchup, we’re offered a total of 6 goals at -120, a fair price considering the offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities on display.
The numbers speak volumes about Vegas’s scoring trends. Out of their 15 games this season, 13 have seen 6 or more goals, with only 2 games landing on exactly 6. In 14 of these 15 games, at least one team has scored 4 or more goals. This shows that not only is the Golden Knights’ offense explosive, but their defense also tends to allow a significant number of goals. The high-scoring nature of their games has led to a steady trend of hitting the over, and there’s no reason to believe this pattern will change in this matchup against the Anaheim Ducks.
Now, let’s take a look at Anaheim’s scoring tendencies. While the Ducks may not have as many high-scoring games as the Golden Knights, they’ve still shown a fair amount of offensive production lately. So far, 7 of their 14 games have hit 6 or more goals, indicating they can be involved in higher-scoring affairs. Furthermore, the Ducks are currently in the midst of a six-game homestand, and the first four games of this stretch have all hit at least 6 goals.
Considering the dynamics between these teams, we have a clear scenario where Vegas, as a -200 favorite, is positioned to dominate and dictate the pace of the game. The Golden Knights have a strong offense capable of breaking through Anaheim’s defense, which has struggled at times. Vegas should have little trouble imposing their will and scoring goals in this matchup. On the other hand, their own defensive issues could allow Anaheim to chip in a few goals.
While Vegas looks strong as a favorite, the -200 price is too heavy to take them as a straight-up side bet. Instead lets look for goals in bunches.
Vegas has proven to be one of the most entertaining teams, with a blend of offensive talent and defensive lapses that keep scores high. Anaheim has also shown they can contribute to high totals, especially in home games. The over 6 looks like a high value play here.
Strong lean on Vegas/Anaheim Over 6.