11/26 CFB Preview: Buffalo (-23.5) vs. Kent State | Total: 49.5
Tonight, we have a matchup featuring the Buffalo Bulls, a team riding a three-game winning streak. Buffalo’s offense has hit its stride in the second half of the season, scoring 41 or more points in four of their last five games. On the other side, we have the Kent State Golden Flashes, widely regarded as the worst team in college football this year. Kent State’s defense has been abysmal, allowing 37 or more points in eight of their ten contests against FBS opponents. Let’s break this game down, focusing on the total.
First, it’s important to address Kent State’s offense—or lack thereof. They currently hold the title of the worst offensive unit in college football. Instead, our attention turns to Buffalo’s red-hot offense, which has torched defenses far superior to what Kent State brings to the table. Quarterback CJ Ogbonna has been a revelation for the Bulls, showcasing his efficiency and growth as a passer with an impressive 16-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
While Ogbonna’s passing has been a key factor in Buffalo’s success, the Bulls’ rushing attack is just as crucial, particularly in a game that may feature gusty winds. The Buffalo ground game matches up exceptionally well against Kent State’s porous run defense, which has struggled all season to stop anyone. This balanced offensive approach gives Buffalo numerous ways to exploit mismatches and put points on the board.
The bottom line is simple: Buffalo will score at will against Kent State. The Golden Flashes’ defense has been a liability all season, and there’s no reason to believe they’ll suddenly find answers tonight. The best play here is taking Buffalo’s team total over 35.5 points. Given how effectively the Bulls have been moving the ball in recent weeks, this number feels well within reach. Expect Buffalo to march up and down the field with ease, making the over on their team total look like a small hurdle.
Another factor to consider is special teams, which could also contribute points for Buffalo. Additionally, Kent State’s ineptitude on offense could set Buffalo up with excellent field position, leading to easy scoring opportunities. While Buffalo might have the firepower to cover the full game total of 49.5 by themselves, for our purposes here, all they need is to surpass 35.5 points
In summary, Buffalo’s surging offense, led by Ogbonna and complemented by a strong rushing attack, is poised for another dominant performance. With Kent State’s defense struggling to stop anyone, the Bulls should have no trouble hitting the over on their team total. Don’t overthink this one—ride with the Buffalo team total over 35.5.
LEAN: Buffalo Team Total Over 35.5