SAT 11/9 CFB PREVIEW: GEORGIA -2.5 vs. MISSISSIPPI, TOTAL 56
Georgia heads to Ole Miss in what shapes up to be a playoff game. A third loss for the Rebels eliminates them, while a second loss by the Dawgs puts them on the outside looking in. The public money is flowing in on Georgia, while the line stays at 2.5. The books have taken a stand on Ole Miss, but they are wrong. The flashy numbers of Mississippi blind many handicappers into thinking they are in Georgia’s class. The 690 yards Ole Miss put up against Arkansas make everyone forget that, for years, this team cannot finish against the big boys. This year, they can’t finish any close game they are in.
On this field, Kentucky got their lone SEC win, 20-17. Another close game they had was a 29-26 loss to LSU—a game they had no business losing. Georgia, on the other hand, always gets the job done against teams not called Alabama. We get Georgia at a big discount here because they don’t blow teams out. When pushed by Kentucky, the Dawgs survived; against Florida, they pulled away. There are numerous occasions where Georgia starts slow and struggles against lesser foes, but in the end, they are well-coached and pull out the wins.
Georgia already went to Texas and dominated the first half, then lost momentum, but still finished off Texas. There is a gap in talent here. This game will fit into the wheelhouse of some great handicappers for the dog, but not for this bettor. Georgia consistently makes clutch plays and never panics, no matter how the game is flowing. Georgia will punch Ole Miss in the mouth at some point, then we will see what Ole Miss is all about. You might not hear this a lot, but the public is correct in this game: Ole Miss falls out of contention Saturday afternoon.
LEAN: GEORGIA -2.5