How to Guarantee the Best 12 Teams Make the College Football Playoff
Let’s take a serious look at how to get the true top 12 teams in college football into the playoff every season. If the goal of the playoff is to determine a national champion by allowing the best teams to compete on the field, then the structure of the system has to support that goal. Right now, the system does a decent job — but it is not designed to consistently guarantee that the top 12 teams, as measured by strength, performance, and power ratings, are all included.
The solution is not just tweaking the current format. The solution is to think bigger. If you want to reliably get the top 12 teams into the playoff, you must expand the pool of eligible teams and combine automatic qualifiers with a significant number of at-large bids. In practical terms, that means expanding the playoff field to 24 teams while preserving the importance of conference championships.
We already have a blueprint for this in college basketball. The NCAA tournament does not pretend that the top 30 teams simply slide into a 30-team field. Instead, it opens the field to 68 teams. That larger pool allows the system to account for automatic qualifiers, conference differences, scheduling disparities, and the reality that not all résumés are built equally. Importantly, not all of the top 68 teams are title contenders — and that’s fine. The purpose of the larger field is not to guarantee that only the very best teams get in, but to guarantee that all teams with a legitimate case have access, while still making room for the true elite.
College football faces even more structural complexity than basketball. Conferences differ dramatically in strength, scheduling is uneven, divisions still exist in some leagues, and teams have little control over who they play from year to year. In that environment, a small playoff field is always going to produce controversy and leave out strong teams that could realistically compete for a national championship.
This year alone, most fans would agree that teams like Notre Dame, Texas, and even Vanderbilt are capable of advancing in the playoff and challenging the established elites. Anyone who follows power ratings knows that Notre Dame, in particular, often grades as a top-five team even when public perception lags behind. That gap between perception, résumé, and actual strength is exactly why a slightly larger playoff field is necessary.
To be clear, this is not an argument about who should or should not be in the playoff this specific year. The committee may very well have gotten it right. This is about designing a system that works in every year — not just in the years where things happen to line up neatly.
The best approach is straightforward:
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All conference champions receive automatic bids.
This preserves the importance of conference titles and ensures that every league has a seat at the table. -
Fourteen at-large bids are added.
These are reserved for the best remaining teams regardless of conference, record quirks, or brand size.
That creates a 24-team playoff field. And no — that does not mean the top 24 teams are necessarily the 24 best teams in the country. That is not the point. The point is that this structure makes it extremely likely that the true top 12 teams are all included, because the field is large enough to absorb automatic qualifiers without squeezing out elite at-large teams.
Yes, people will still argue about the final few spots. They always will. But that argument becomes much less important when everyone knows the top 12 teams are safely in. The frustration today is not about who finishes 13th or 14th — it is about seeing teams that look strong enough to win the title excluded entirely.
A 24-team format balances fairness, access, and competitive integrity. It rewards champions, protects elite teams from being left out due to technicalities, and still preserves the drama and debate that make college football compelling.
In short, if the playoff is truly about crowning the best team, then the system should first make sure the best teams are actually allowed to compete. Expanding the field to 24 teams with automatic qualifiers and meaningful at-large bids is the cleanest, fairest, and most logical way to do exactly that.